As many of you know, I blog about the British constitution over at A Venerable Puzzle, so the United Kingdom is a subject that’s close to my heart. I was surprised by the result of yesterday’s vote. Despite the shifts in the polls, I assumed that the uncertainty surrounding Brexit would ultimately encourage people to vote to remain within the European Union. But as I watch the reaction to Britain’s decision, I find myself growing frustrated by the superficiality of it all. According to the Twitterverse, anyone who voted to leave is a xenophobic relic. Donald Trump has been thrown into the mix, too, and there has been lots of hand-wringing about what this means for the presidential election in November.
If there’s one thing that I’ve learned as a historian, it’s that the decisions we make are rarely straightforward, and events are shaped by a multitude of factors. Therefore, the narrative that the vote to leave was simply motivated by distaste for foreigners strikes me as too simplistic. It glosses over the fact that there are other reasons to leave the EU, including legitimate concerns over national sovereignty and a lack of European accountability. But instead of recognizing the fact that people might have genuine issues with the EU, it’s easier to dismiss their views as the product of ignorance and hate.
A lot of the American commentariat also seems unaware of the fact that yesterday’s vote was hardly a bolt from the blue. Britain has been ambivalent toward the EU for a long time, and successive Governments have rejected key aspects of the European project, including the Euro, the Schengen Area, and the commitment to ever-closer union. In other words, Britain’s estrangement from the EU predates the rise of Trump and the migrant crisis.
As is so often the case, people seem to assume that there was a Right Answer and a Wrong Answer in the Brexit vote. I see it as a choice between two paths. Both have hazards, but both have opportunities as well. Britain is neither doomed nor saved by yesterday’s vote, and it will be some time before we can accurately gauge its impact. Nevertheless, I hope that the chaos of the present will soon give way to better things.
Codex Lochianus 